BOOK · [357]
The Fourth Turning: An American Prophecy
History / Cyclical Theory
Strauss and Howe propose an 80-year generational cycle of Anglo-American history culminating in a "fourth turning" — a crisis era that destroys the old order and rebuilds institutions from scratch. Balaji notes their mid-1990s forecast of a serious American conflict in the 2020s as evidence the model has predictive value.
Endorsed By
1 PERSON-
Balaji Srinivasan
Balaji points to its mid-1990s forecast of a 2020s American crisis as evidence the cyclic model has predictive value, relevant to his thesis about the current institutional unraveling.