BOOK · [277]
War and Peace and War
History
Turchin applies quantitative cliodynamics to model the rise and fall of empires via cycles of cohesion and elite overproduction. Balaji cites it alongside The Fourth Turning as a timestamped prediction that the West is sliding into structural instability.
Endorsed By
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Balaji Srinivasan
Cited in The Network State for Turchin's timestamped, quantitative predictions of US elite overproduction and instability.