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The Black Swan cover

The Black Swan

Nassim Nicholas Taleb

Philosophy

Most consequential events are unforeseeable in advance and over-explained in retrospect. Why our intuition about tails is broken.

Endorsed By

2 People
  • Jeff Bezos

    Farnam Street's compilation explains that Bezos circulates The Black Swan to senior leaders because 'experimentation and empiricism trumps the easy and obvious narrative' — the worldview behind Amazon's willingness to absorb multi-billion-dollar failures.

    fs.blog

  • Naval Ravikant